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| Srl | Item |
| 1 |
ID:
145244
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| Summary/Abstract |
This article examines the intersection of Big Data and strategic intelligence from a theoretical-conceptual viewpoint. Adopting Popperian refutation as a starting point, it approaches methodological issues surrounding the incorporation of Big Data into the intelligence cycle, and argues that Big Data analytics is best used to discern long-term developments, generate intelligence hypotheses, and adduce refuting facts. The article then briefly examines the use of Big Data via social media, an increasingly fertile platform for intelligence analysis. Finally, the article argues that despite its potential in filling our epistemic gaps, Big Data should continue to complement traditional subject-matter expertise, supported by game theory, as part of a tripartite analytical framework for strategic intelligence consisting of ‘subtext’, ‘context’ and ‘metatext’. In this respect, Big Data may well become the midwife for more open modes of intelligence management and, ultimately, a more open society.
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| 2 |
ID:
176533
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| Summary/Abstract |
Changes in Iran’s executive authority have produced changes in its grand strategy, under the same Supreme Leader and despite shared revolutionary boundaries.
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| 3 |
ID:
139500
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| Summary/Abstract |
This article reviews national security decision-making in the Iranian context by focusing on institutions, formal process and individuals. It specifically examines the Supreme National Security Council, which formalizes and embodies the decision-making process, as well as the Revolutionary Guards, which epitomize both the influence of institutions as well as the centrality of the agent-individual. Despite the plurality of formal institutions and the existence of process, decision-making remains heavily centered on a small group of largely unelected individuals driven as much by ‘regime expediency’ as by mutual give-and-take along informal, microfactional lines. While he may have the last word, even Iran's current Supreme Leader is constrained by these ideological, negotiational and structural factors. These key figures are closely affiliated either with the politico-clerical founding kernel of the 1979 Revolution, or the powerful Revolutionary Guards—mainly the hardliners in any case—and are instrumental in determining the discursive boundaries of national security, the scope of which this article confines to defense and foreign policy. Finally, how all this coheres in the realm of strategy has as much to do with regime survival as with the art of reconciling ends and means.
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| 4 |
ID:
086221
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Students of Israeli politics will observe that, against the backrop of perpetual siege, the complexity and intensity of fault lines undercutting the nation of six million have become axiomatic- Jew/Arab, Ashkenazi/Sephardi-Mizrahi,religious/secular, left/right, hawk/dove, veteran/immigrant, Zionist/post-Zionist, etc. Yet, Israel has maintained a remarkable degree of stability.
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| 5 |
ID:
149723
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| Summary/Abstract |
Relations between Russian and Iran have grown stronger alongside military co-operation in Syria, but remain unbalanced. Kevjn Lim assesses the outlook for political relations and tactical co-operation as Moscow continues to treat Tehran as a junior partner.
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