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ID:   086589


Understanding the inflation-output nexus for china / Narayan, Paresh Kumar; Narayan, Seema; Smyth, Russell   Journal Article
Smyth, Russell Journal Article
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Publication 2009.
Summary/Abstract In this article we examine several hypotheses relating to output and inflation dynamics in China. The hypotheses tests are based on the exponential generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (EGARCH) model of Nelson [Nelson, D. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset return: A new approach, Econometrica, 59, 347-370]. Our findings suggest that Chinese output-inflation behaviour is consistent with the hypothesis that increased inflation uncertainty lowers average inflation; the hypothesis that inflation volatility reduces economic growth and the hypothesis that higher output volatility increases economic growth. However, we find no support for the hypothesis that higher output volatility increases the average inflation rate.
Key Words Inflation  China  Output  EGARCH Model  Econometrica 
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