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ID:
086783
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
As the results of the 31 January Iraqi provincial elections have slowly become apparent, the shifting balance of power in local governance is clear. The elections' significance is not immediately evident to external observers, but they are a useful bellwether of political sentiment ahead of national parliamentary elections in 2010. Moreover, the provincial elections will have a substantial impact on the ability of parties and individuals to control local governments and, therefore, rally support ahead of the national poll. Governors and council chairmen can intercede in local economic development and ensure that their allies receive preferential access to jobs and contracts.
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| 2 |
ID:
086786
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
With criminals increasingly turning to cybercrime as relatively lowcost, risk-free source of financial gain, Brazil has become established as one of the its main global centres. Although it is difficult to collect reliable statistics, studies and reports published primarily by commercial anti-virus companies indicate that Brazil has been cybercrime centre for more than decade.
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| 3 |
ID:
086787
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2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Differentiating perpetrators of violence in Mindanao is difficult given the number of criminal actors in the area. Against the backdrop of Islamist insurgent groups regularly engaged in battles against the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) causing fatalities and confusion, peace negotiations between the government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF) have faltered. The clear distinction between insurgent and criminal activities is increasingly blurred as militants profit from once-traditional criminal activities and criminal groups engage in operations of the kind once reserved for insurgents.
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| 4 |
ID:
086769
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
The conventioanl military defeat of Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam may force the group to return to guerrilla tactics to maintain its high profile. Shanaka Jayasekara argues that it will aslo need to keep control of its international funding network to finance its fight for survival.
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| 5 |
ID:
086788
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| Publication |
2009.
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On 24 February, North Korea's Space Committee confirmed it was preparing to launch a rocket, claimed to be the Unha 2, to place the Kwangmyongsong 2 communication satellite into orbit. On 12 March, Pyongyang informed the International Maritime Organisation that the launch would take place between 4 and 8 April. Satellite imagery obtained by Jane's confirms that North Korea could be ready to launch in a matter of weeks.
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| 6 |
ID:
086789
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
The Chinese People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) dispatched three naval vessels to support international counter-piracy operations in the Gulf of Aden in December 2008. This muscular effort is the clearest sign so far that Beijing is growing in its willingness and capacity to deploy military assets overseas to protect Chinese citizens and commercial interests.
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| 7 |
ID:
086767
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2009.
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New United States President Barack Obama has promised to close the Guantánamo Bay detention facility by the end of January 2010. The closure highlights how the new administration is attempting to break with the policies of its predecessor and will allow it to remove an issue exploited by Islamist propagandists. However, there is also a risk that ex-detainees could swell the ranks of Al-Qaeda.
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| 8 |
ID:
086774
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Central Asian countries are refusing to be pawns in a new great game between the United States and Russia. Mark Galeotti observes how several countries are using their strategic value in military and energy terms to get the most out of their extra regional relationship.
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| 9 |
ID:
086784
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Kosovo's first year of independence has been characterised by efforts to reconcile the country's new self-declared status and establish a way of living with its Serb minority population. This difficult task has been mirrored in efforts to reform its security sector. While the creation of a new security force to replace the controversial Kosovo Protection Corps (KPC) is underway, the Kosovo Police Service (KPS), often used as an example of a successful multi-ethnic institution, is still struggling to find the best way to deal with Serb members who left their posts following the independence declaration.
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| 10 |
ID:
086791
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| Publication |
2009.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Sudan's forthcoming on southern independence is straining relations between Juba and Khartoum. Neil Ford looks at how major oil reserves in disputed regions are aggravating the situation and assesses the risk of renewed conflict in the run up to July elections.
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