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ECONOMIC FORECASTS (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   090823


Partisanship and economic behavior: do partisan differences in economic forecasts predict real economic Behavior / Gerber, Alan S; Huber, Gregory A   Journal Article
Gerber, Alan S Journal Article
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Publication 2009.
Summary/Abstract Survey data regularly show that assessments of current and expected future economic performance are more positive when a respondent's partisanship matches that of the president. To determine if this is a survey artifact or something deeper, we investigate whether partisanship is associated with behavioral differences in economic decisions. We construct a new data set of county-level quarterly taxable sales to examine the effect of partisanship on consumption. Consumption change following a presidential election is correlated with a county's partisan complexion, a result consistent with partisans acting outside the domain of politics in accordance with the opinions they express in surveys. These results support an expansive view of the role of partisanship in mass politics and help validate surveys as a method for studying political behavior
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2
ID:   192436


US Economy: Postcrisis Development Prospects / Supyan, V   Journal Article
Supyan, V Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract IN THE first decades of the 21st century, the US experienced several major socioeconomic shocks - primarily the so-called great recession of 2008-2009, the most destructive cyclical crisis after the Great Depression of the late 1920s and early 1930s; the cyclical crisis of 2020, which coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic and had a fairly negative impact on the US economy and revealed its weaknesses; and finally, inflation, which in 2022 hit 8% for the first time in 40 years.
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