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ID: 149995

Impact of the EU car CO2 regulation on the energy system and the role of electro-mobility to achieve transport decarbonisation / Thiel, Christian; Nijs, Wouter ; Simoes, Sofia ; Schmidt, Johannes

Nijs, Wouter	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

We analyse the impact of the current and an alternative stricter EU CO2 car legislation on transport related CO2 emissions, on the uptake of electric vehicles (EV), on the reduction of oil consumption, and on total energy system costs beyond 2020. We apply a TIMES based energy system model for Europe. Results for 2030 show that a stricter target of 70 g CO2/km for cars could reduce total transport CO2 emissions by 5% and oil dependence by more than 2% compared to the current legislation. The stricter regulatory CO2 car target is met by a deployment of more efficient internal combustion engine cars and higher shares of EV Total system costs increase by less than 1%. The analysis indicates that EV deployment and the decarbonisation of the power system including higher shares of variable renewables can be synergistic. Our sensitivity analysis shows that the deployment of EV would sharply increase between 2020 and 2030 at learning rates above 12.5%, reaching shares above 30% in 2030. Finally, the study highlights that, besides legislating cars, policies for other transport sectors and modes are needed to curb transport related CO2 emission growth by 2030.

Key Words

Energy system model ; Electro-Mobility ; Road Transport Decarbonisation ; EU car CO2 Regulation

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ID: 091535

Will a radical transport pricing reform jeopardize the ambitiou / Proost, Stef; Delhaye, Eef; Nijs, Wouter; Regemorter, Denise Van

Proost, Stef	Journal Article
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2009.

Summary/Abstract

This paper examines the effects of replacing current fuel taxes by a system of taxes that account better for all the different external costs of the different transport modes. One of the important implications of this reform is that current fuel taxes are decreased to a level of 80 euro/ton of CO2 but that the mileage related taxes on car and truck use increase. Using the TREMOVE model for the transport sector of 31 European countries, one finds that the volume of transport will decrease because current taxes on transport are too low compared to overall external costs. Overall CO2 emissions will decrease slightly. Using the MARKAL-TIMES model for the Belgian energy sector, putting all sectors and technologies on equal footing shows that a fuel tax reform makes that it is not cost efficient to require large CO2 emission reductions in the transport sector and that traditional car technologies will continue to dominate the car market in 2020-2030.

Key Words

European Union ; Climate Change ; Carbon Emission ; Transport Sector ; Fuel Taxes ; Car Technologies

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