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GROWTH PROJECTIONS (2) answer(s).
 
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1
ID:   127587


Making room for rising powers / Narlikar, Amrita   Journal Article
Narlikar, Amrita Journal Article
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Publication 2014.
Summary/Abstract In 2003, the investment firm Goldman Sachs predicted that, within less than 40 years, the economies of the so-called "BRIC" nations- Brazil, Russia, India, and China-could together exceed the output of America, Japan, Britain, Germany, France, and Italy combined, in US dollar terms. Since then, considerable hype has surrounded the BRIC phenomenon. Growth projections vary, and disputes have erupted between those claiming that the emerging markets will remain the powerhouses of the world and others pointing to a recent economic slowdown even in these countries. Arguments continue even about the category itself. Were the original BRIC countries right to expand their grouping to South Africa (creating the current BRICS)? Does Russia really deserve to be in it?
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2
ID:   092728


Slow and stunted: plutonium accounting and the growth of fast breeder reactors in India / Ramana, M V; Suchitra, J Y   Journal Article
Ramana, M V Journal Article
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Publication 2009.
Summary/Abstract The Indian Department of Atomic Energy (DAE) has projected a large growth of nuclear power in the country predominantly based on breeder reactors. These projections use a simplistic methodology that does not carefully account for the availability of plutonium that is required to fuel breeder reactors. In this paper, we demonstrate that this methodology is problematic, in particular that it would result in negative balances of plutonium if the DAE's projections were to come true. The DAE's projections also ignore constraints coming from reprocessing capacity in the country. As an alternative, we project the possible growth of nuclear power based on breeder reactors using a methodology consistent with plutonium constraints. The resulting breeder reactor capacity will be only between 17% and 40% of the DAE's projections, and will likely never constitute a major source of electricity in India for several decades at the very least.
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