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VAR ANALYSIS (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   093845


Co-movement of stock markets in East Asia: did the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis really strengthen stock market integration? / Huyghebaert, Nancy; Wang, Lihong   Journal Article
Huyghebaert, Nancy Journal Article
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Publication 2010.
Summary/Abstract This paper examines the integration and causality of interdependencies among seven major East Asian stock exchanges before, during, and after the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis. For this purpose, we use daily stock market data from July 1, 1992 to June 30, 2003 in local currency as well as US dollar terms. The data reveal that the relationships among East Asian stock markets are time varying. While stock market interactions are limited before the Asian financial crisis, we find that Hong Kong and Singapore respond significantly to shocks in most other East Asian markets, including Shanghai and Shenzhen, during this crisis. After the crisis, shocks in Hong Kong and Singapore largely affect other East Asian stock markets, except for those in Mainland China. Finally, considering the role of the USA shows that it strongly influences stock returns in East Asia - except for Mainland China - in all periods, while the reverse does not hold true.
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ID:   092941


Military spending and economic growth in Sri Lanka: a time series analysis / Wijeweera, Albert; Webb, Matthew J   Journal Article
Webb, Matthew J Journal Article
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Publication 2009.
Summary/Abstract In this paper, we employ a VAR analysis to examine the nexus between military spending and economic growth in Sri Lanka which, due to the civil war there, has witnessed a significant increase in military spending over the last three decades while also recording healthy economic growth. The study finds that, compared with non-military spending, military spending exerts only a minimal positive impact on real GDP. Over a 10-year period, a 1% increase in non-military spending increases GDP by 1.6%. In contrast, military spending only increases GDP by 0.05%, suggesting that the economic benefits for Sri Lanka from a sustained peace may be considerable.
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