Query Result Set
Skip Navigation Links
   ActiveUsers:777Hits:19858619Skip Navigation Links
Show My Basket
Contact Us
IDSA Web Site
Ask Us
Today's News
HelpExpand Help
Advanced search

  Hide Options
Sort Order Items / Page
INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES (2) answer(s).
 
SrlItem
1
ID:   094080


Intelligence estimates: NIEs vs. the open press in the 1958 China straits crisis / Hastedt, Glenn P   Journal Article
Hastedt, Glenn P Journal Article
0 Rating(s) & 0 Review(s)
Publication 2010.
Summary/Abstract From their earliest days National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs) have had a special, albeit controversial, place in the study of the United States Intelligence Community's analytical products. In its broadest terms, the debate over the significance of NIEs is marked alternately by the Council on Foreign Relations identification of NIEs as the "most authoritative written judgments concerning national security issues,"1 and by the judgment of a panel headed by former Central Intelligence Agency official Richard Kerr-known as the Kerr Group-which concluded in 2004, after looking at intelligence on Iraq, that "historically, with few exceptions, NIEs have not carried great weight in policy deliberations.
        Export Export
2
ID:   140398


Using process tracing to improve policy making: the (Negative) case of the 2003 intervention in Iraq / Bennett, Andrew   Article
Bennett, Andrew Article
0 Rating(s) & 0 Review(s)
Summary/Abstract This article argues that applying the Bayesian logic of process tracing can improve intelligence estimates, appraisals of alternative policy options, and reassessments of whether policies are working as planned. It illustrates these points by demonstrating how more systematic use of this logic could have improved each of these three elements of policymaking regarding the 2003 US military intervention in Iraq.
        Export Export