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ID: 105196

Coalition-directed voting in multiparty democracies / Duch, Raymond M; May, Jeff; Armstrong, David A

Duch, Raymond M	Journal Article
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Publication

2010.

Summary/Abstract

Ideology is widely considered to be an important factor in shaping policy outcomes and in influencing election outcomes. We propose a theory of the coalition-directed vote. The argument suggests that voters anticipate the postelection bargains negotiated among potential members of the governing coalition and that these anticipated policy agreements inform their vote choice. Our analysis, based on 86 voter preference surveys from 23 countries and over a 25-year period, confirms that coalition-directed voting occurs with considerable frequency in contexts with multiparty coalition governments.

Key Words

Election Outcomes ; Multiparty Democracies ; Multiparty Coalition Governments

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ID: 121026

Great divide: campaign media in the American mind / Mutz, Diana C

Mutz, Diana C	Journal Article
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Publication

2012.

Summary/Abstract

There is a huge difference between public perceptions of the power of media in elections and academic evidence of its influence. This gap stems from the fact that the public uses different forms of evidence than academics use to infer media power. This essay outlines the reasons for this great divide, then highlights the seriousness of its consequences for the allocation of political resources. Public beliefs in omnipotent media contribute to wasted time and money; ultimately, they undermine the legitimacy of election outcomes.

Key Words

Media ; Election Outcomes ; Media Power ; Power of Media in Elections

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ID: 094419

Strategies, institutions, and outcomes under SNTV in Taiwan, 1992–2004 / Patterson, Dennis P; Stockton, Hans

Stockton, Hans	Journal Article
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Publication

2010.

Summary/Abstract

During the five democratic elections held in Taiwan from 1992 to 2004 inclusive, the formerly dominant Kuomintang Party (KMT) was temporarily supplanted by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) as the nation's largest political party. Most explanations for this have focused on party fragmentation and the changing patterns of electoral competition it helped create. These are important factors, but they have not been tested empirically at the level where candidates won and lost legislative seats, the level of the election district. This article offers such an empirical test, and it will show that these two factors had a direct impact on the ability of DPP and KMT candidates to obtain legislative seats. We also show that these factors carried indirect impacts by hurting the ability of the KMT and DPP to nominate in a way that they would obtain all the seats that their obtained vote shares would allow.

Key Words

Competition ; Legislative Yuan ; Electoral System ; SNTV ; Election Districts ; Election Outcomes ;
Candidates ; Nomination Errors ; Overnominations ; Undernominations

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ID: 131660

Weather, elections, forecasts: after Richardson / Lewis-Beck, Michael S; Stegmaier, Mary

Lewis-Beck, Michael S	Journal Article
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Publication

2014.

Key Words

Election ; United States ; Weather ; Measurement ; Election Outcomes ; Forcasts

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