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ID: 181741

Global Analysis of Temperature, Terrorist Attacks, and Fatalities / Craig, Curtis M; Overbeek, Randy W; Niedbala, Elizabeth M

Craig, Curtis M	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

Higher temperatures have been associated with aggression in humans, but the heat–aggression relationship has not been clearly established for terrorist attacks. We found significant and positive relationships when regressing the number of terrorist attacks and associated deaths on temperature in 159 countries from 1970 to 2015. When temperature increases, the number of terrorist attacks and deaths due to terrorist attacks tend to increase. Our results are consistent with a large body of research on the effect of climate on conflict and are of practical concern given increasing average global temperatures.

Key Words

Terrorist Attacks ; Fatalities ; Global Analysis of Temperature

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ID: 097292

Of Fuzzy writing and fatalities / Buckley, Ross

Buckley, Ross	Journal Article
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2010.

Key Words

Military Officers ; Fatalities ; Fuzzy Writing

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ID: 151707

Terrorist choice: a stochastic dominance and prospect theory analysis / Pohl, Gabriela; Phillips, Peter J

Phillips, Peter J	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

The paper explores terrorist choice by applying two well-known theoretical frameworks: stochastic dominance and prospect theory (PT). We analyse each pair of attack methods that can be formed from the RAND-MIPT database and the Global Terrorism Database. Instances of stochastic dominance are identified. PT orderings are computed. Attention is accorded to the identification of ‘trigger points’ and the circumstances that may lead to an increased likelihood that a terrorist will select an attack method associated with a higher expected number of fatalities, i.e. a potentially more damaging attack method.

Key Words

Prospect Theory ; Fatalities ; Terrorist Choice ; Stochastic Dominance ; Attack Methods ; Trigger Points

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ID: 140258

Using combat losses of medical personnel to estimate the impact of trauma care in battle: evidence from world war II, Korea, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan / Rohlfs, Chris; Sullivan, Ryan ; Treistman, Jeffrey ; Deng, Yang

Treistman, Jeffrey	Article
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Summary/Abstract

This study investigates the effect that US medical personnel deaths in combat have on other unit deaths and ‘military success,’ which we measure using commendation medals as a proxy. We use a difference-in-differences identification strategy, measuring the changes over time in these outcomes following the combat loss of a medic or doctor and comparing it to the changes following the combat loss of a soldier who is not a medic or doctor. We find that overall unit deaths decrease in the five or ten days following the deaths of medical personnel in Vietnam, Korea, and the Pacific theater in World War II (WWII). In contrast, the WWII European and North African results indicate that overall unit deaths rise following medical personnel deaths. We find no relationship between medical personnel deaths and other unit deaths in Iraq and Afghanistan. For Korea and the Pacific theater of WWII, our estimates suggest unit commendation medals decrease following the deaths of medical personnel. This pattern of evidence is consistent with a model in which units often halted aggressive tactical maneuvers and reduced pursuit of their military objectives until deceased medical personnel were replaced. The results for the other conflicts are mixed and show little connection between medical personnel deaths and commendation medals.

Key Words

Military ; Military Success ; Fatalities ; Medic ; Medical Personnel ; Trauma Care ;
I12 ; I18 ; H43

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