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| 1 |
ID:
098608
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| Publication |
2010.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Wind power is expected to be the major element of renewable electricity generation in Great Britain (GB) by 2020 with a capacity of around 30 GW. The potential impact of a large amount of wind generation on the GB gas network was investigated using a combined gas and electricity network model. The varying nature of gas and electric power flows, network support facilities such as gas storage and compressors, and the power ramping characteristics of various power plants were considered. Three case studies were modelled, one case uses the existing network and the other two make use of a hypothesised network in 2020 with two distinct levels of wind generation representing low and high wind periods. The simulation results show that a large penetration of wind generation will influence the electricity generation mix as the wind power varies. Gas-fired generation is used to compensate for wind variability. This will cause increased flows and compressor power consumption on the gas network. Linepack depletion during low wind periods was shown to limit the ability of the gas network to fully supply gas-fired generators.
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| 2 |
ID:
180160
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| Summary/Abstract |
The energy supply system is undergoing enormous change to deliver against cost, security of supply and decarbonisation objectives. Robust decisions on the provision of infrastructure requires integrated models to perform analytics across the entire energy supply chain.
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| 3 |
ID:
112248
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| Publication |
2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
This paper considers whether commercially driven investment in gas infrastructure is sufficient to provide security of gas supply or whether strategic investment encouraged by government is desirable. The paper focuses on the UK in the wider EU context. A modelling analysis of the impact of disruptions, lasting from days to months, at the UK's largest piece of gas infrastructure is at the heart of the paper. The disruptions are hypothesised to take place in the mid-2020s, after the current wave of commercial investments in storage and LNG import facilities has worked its way through. The paper also analyses the current role of gas in energy markets, reviews past disruptions to gas supplies, highlights current patterns of commercial investment in gas infrastructure in the UK and assesses the implications of recent EU legislation on security of gas supply. The paper concludes with an analysis of the desirability of strategic investment in gas infrastructure.
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| 4 |
ID:
125738
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| Publication |
2013.
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| Summary/Abstract |
A Monte Carlo model of the combined GB gas and electricity network was developed to determine the reliability of the energy infrastructure. The model integrates the gas and electricity network into a single sequential Monte Carlo simulation. The model minimises the combined costs of the gas and electricity network, these include gas supplies, gas storage operation and electricity generation. The Monte Carlo model calculates reliability indices such as loss of load probability and expected energy unserved for the combined gas and electricity network. The intention of this tool is to facilitate reliability analysis of integrated energy systems. Applications of this tool are demonstrated through a case study that quantifies the impact on the reliability of the GB gas and electricity network given uncertainties such as wind variability, gas supply availability and outages to energy infrastructure assets. Analysis is performed over a typical midwinter week on a hypothesised GB gas and electricity network in 2020 that meets European renewable energy targets. The efficacy of doubling GB gas storage capacity on the reliability of the energy system is assessed. The results highlight the value of greater gas storage facilities in enhancing the reliability of the GB energy system given various energy uncertainties.
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