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ID:
100183
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| Publication |
2010.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Unclassified reports the U.S. National Intelligence Council issued every four years to cover possible developments of the next decade and a half stand apart from what is published in this field all over the world. The latest of such contributions - Global Trends 2025: A Transformed World (hereinafter Report) - was published in November 2008; its draft had been completed by May 2008, before the military conflict in the Southern Caucasus which altered not so much the balance of forces in the region as the ideas of the rivaling subjects of international relations about one another. This applies, to an even greater extent, to the global crisis which spread to all spheres of economic activities in the fall of 2008 and the winter of 2009. We have to admit that the world academic community (with the exception of marginal alter-globalist and neo-Marxist trends always ready with apocalyptical forecasts of global calamities) was taken by surprise. Today, it is busy, in hindsight, looking for a rational explanation of what has happened and for possible disentanglements. In this context the authors had to move to risky forecasts of demographic and climate change, Iran's nuclear file and the state of the world financial markets. The Introduction pointed out that the individual still played an important role in history and that it is true for the totalitarian (Lenin, Stalin, Hitler, Mao Zedong) and for democratic (Churchill, Roosevelt, Truman) societies. The authors warn against the dangers of economic instability: fast economic changes (negative and positive alike) undermine the democratic institutions; they insist on the key role of technological progress in the current changes. They wrote that the numerous wars,
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| 2 |
ID:
147797
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| Summary/Abstract |
The authors review different types of planning as a control function. They provide an essential analysis of strategic and budgetary strategic planning, directed toward creating an integrated target program for the financial activity of enterprises, including those of the defense-industrial complex.
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