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ID: 101615

Civil war contagion and neighboring interventions / Kathman, Jacob D

Kathman, Jacob D	Journal Article
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Publication

2010.

Summary/Abstract

Extant models of civil war intervention have difficulty accounting for the intervention decisions of third-party states that share a border with an ongoing civil war. This is troubling, as contiguous third parties account for a large proportion of interventions. I demonstrate that the tendency of civil wars to spread geographically pose neighbor states with threats to their well-being that are faced by no other type of intervener in the international system. Destruction, regime stability, even state survival are threatened by the prospect of civil war infection. I argue that neighboring third parties are thus motivated to intervene in an attempt to thwart war diffusion across their own borders. Through an analysis of civil war prevalence, I generate a measure of each state's yearly likelihood of being infected by a proximate civil war's hostilities. I then use this measure to explain neighboring interventions in civil wars of the post-WWII period. The results support my theorized expectations.

Key Words

Contagion ; Neighboring ; Infection ; Civil War

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ID: 124717

When poor people sneeze: banks catch a cold / Keating , Joshua E

Keating , Joshua E	Journal Article
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Publication	2013.
Summary/Abstract	Analysts often borrow from the vocabulary of disease to describe financial crises, using word such as "pandemic" and "contagion" to discussed how economic disturbance spread. But recent research suggests a more literal connection between the two : poor countries, actual disease can infect the financial system.

Key Words

Economics ; Business ; Financial Crisis ; Socioeconomics ; Disease ; Film ;
Contagion ; Epidemiology ; Infection ; Actual Disease ; Bank, Business ; Quotation ;
Foreign Policy

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