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TALEB, NASSIM NICHOLAS (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   103398


Black swan of Cario: how suppressing volatility makes the world less predictable and more dangerous / Taleb, Nassim Nicholas; Blyth, Mark   Journal Article
Blyth, Mark Journal Article
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Publication 2011.
Key Words United States  Turkey  Black Swan 
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2
ID:   136504


Calm before the storm: why volatility signals stability, and 
vice versa / Taleb, Nassim Nicholas; Treverton, Gregory F   Article
Treverton, Gregory F Article
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Summary/Abstract Even as protests spread across the Middle East in early 2011, the regime of Bashar al-Assad in Syria appeared immune from the upheaval. Assad had ruled comfortably for over a decade, having replaced his father, Hafez, who himself had held power for the previous three decades. Many pundits argued that Syria’s sturdy police state, which exercised tight control over the country’s people and economy, would survive the Arab Spring undisturbed. Compared with its neighbor Lebanon, Syria looked positively stable. Civil war had torn through Lebanon throughout much of the 1970s and 1980s, and the assassination of former Prime Minister Rafiq Hariri in 2005 had plunged the country into yet more chaos.
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