| Srl | Item |
| 1 |
ID:
147893
|
|
|
|
|
| Summary/Abstract |
The main focus of this article is to investigate the short- and long-run causal effects of human cost of terror on gross domestic product (GDP), private consumption and private investment in Pakistan by using autoregressive distributed lag techniques. The results confirm the long-run association between the human cost of terror, GDP, private consumption and private investment and suggest that the human cost of terror adversely affects GDP and private investment, and positively influences private consumption in the long run. Furthermore, the results in the study reveal that the human cost of terror negatively affect GDP and private investment and increases private consumption in the short run. The overall findings of the article suggest that the human cost of terror drags the economy down, discourages private investment and distorts the pattern of private consumption in Pakistan.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2 |
ID:
103883
|
|
|
|
|
| Publication |
2011.
|
| Summary/Abstract |
In the present paper, we use the Markov-switching model to test the nonlinear effects of government expenditure and taxes on private consumption in China. The results show that fiscal policy in China has a significantly nonlinear effect. In years 1978-1980 and 1984-1997, the effect of government consumption on private consumption is non-Keynesian. During the same periods, the effect of taxes is also non-Keynesian, but the effect is not significant. The effect of government investment is linear but asymmetric. After retesting the reasons for the existence of nonlinear effects, we find that in China initial fiscal conditions and the magnitude of fiscal consolidations are not related to the nonlinear effects of fiscal policy. The government should pay close attention to the characteristics of commodity and labor markets to identify the conditions and regimes associated with nonlinear effects.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|