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ID: 149474

Alliances as a necessary condition of multiparty wars / Vasquez, John A; Rundlett, Ashlea

Vasquez, John A	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

The scientific study of war has largely ignored necessary conditions for war onset. Conflict scholars have previously identified alliances as a mechanism that brings about the initial expansion of war but have not examined whether it is a prerequisite for large wars. We argue that wars diffuse into multiparty wars only in the presence of alliances. In other words, in the absence of any alliance ties, war would not include more than two parties. We put forth a theoretical rationale for this relationship and conduct a series of tests on both dyadic and multiparty wars between 1816 and 2007. These tests provide support for our hypothesis, suggesting that alliances are a virtual necessary condition for multiparty wars: the larger the war, the more likely alliances are a necessary condition.

Key Words

War ; Conflict ; Interstate Conflict ; Militarized Interstate Disputes ; International Alliance ; Enduring Rivalries

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ID: 103938

ConflictSpace of cataclysm: the international system and the spread of war 1914-1917 / Vasquez, John A; Diehl, Paul F; Flint, Colin; Scheffran, Jurgen

Diehl, Paul F	Journal Article
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2011.

Summary/Abstract

Social network analysis is used to show that underlying systemic structure made war more likely to spread in 1914 than earlier in the century. The changing network density of three diffusion processes is seen as crucial-alliances, interstate rivalries, and territorial disputes. The findings show that the density of each of these factors increased in the system in varying degrees from 1900 to the end of 1913. How the three diffusion processes interacted with contiguity to make the local war between Austria-Hungary and Serbia spread to become a world war is explained both theoretically and historically.

Key Words

Alliances ; Territorial Disputes ; Serbia ; Social Network Analysis ; Spread of War ; 1914-1917 ;
Interstate Rivalries ; Austria - Hungary War

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