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| Srl | Item |
| 1 |
ID:
110495
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| Publication |
2011.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Grain self-sufficiency is one of the most important agricultural policy goals in China. With only modest imports, China has succeeded in feeding 22% of the world's population on only 7% of its land. However, a high price has been paid for this enormous achievement. Increase in grain yields, in particular in rice, as the main source of production growth, relied heavily on intensive use of physical inputs and increasing intensity of farming systems. Soil degradation, water scarcity, and severe pollution were among the consequences as well as declining efficiency of fertilizer application. Using county-level panel data from 1980 to 2003 and graphical (GIS-based) analysis, this paper first looks at the spatial change of the major grain production across regions over the past two decades, towards the northern and northeastern provinces. The analysis is complemented by using a random panel data model, which underscores the significant influence of land availability, degree of urbanization, and government policy on grain production. Finally, this analysis addresses environmental stress which includes both soil degradation and water shortage. The latter is already severe in many of the traditional grain producing areas, but will now become a bigger problem in the "new" grain producing areas, as these have traditionally much less water resources. Hence, while the economic rational of the "grain shift" towards the northern and northeastern regions is understandable, its sustainability is not guaranteed.
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| 2 |
ID:
105280
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| Publication |
2011.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Provincial panel data from the agricultural sector and stochastic frontier production function model were employed to study the total factor productivity (TFP) growth since the 1980s in China. We decomposed the TFP growth into technological progress and technical efficiency changes (efficiency gains) as well as the aggregate agricultural TFP growth into crop-specific subsector's TFP growths. We found that Chinese agriculture experienced significant productivity growth in the last few decades, although the growth rates vary considerably among the subsectors. During this period, the source of productivity growth comes from either technological progress or efficiency gains, not from both of them simultaneously. Particularly since the 1990s, Chinese agriculture experienced a great technological progress and yet a considerable efficiency loss. The differences among sources of productivity growth and among subsectors call for distinct policy responses.
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| 3 |
ID:
128163
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2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
This paper examines differences in the spatial and temporal variations of rice yields in China and Brazil. Our analysis indicates that, in China, rice yields have converged over time and rice production has become increasingly homogeneous. In contrast, rice yields in Brazil have diverged over time, primarily due to variations in upland rice yields. Three hypothetical explanations may account for the different behaviors of rice yields in Brazil and China, namely: 1) differences in production systems (i.e. irrigated in China vs. upland in Brazil); 2) changes in rainfall patterns; and 3) bias in agricultural research and development (R&D) towards irrigated rice. Our empirical analysis supports the first two hypotheses by establishing that: 1) upland rice shows much more variation in yields compared to irrigated rice; and 2) changing rainfall patterns have primarily affected upland rice. We also provide evidence of the bias towards irrigated systems by looking at the patterns of varietal release.
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