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ID: 105375

2010 Elections: why did political science forecasts go awry? / Brady, David W; Fiorina, Morris P; Wilkins, Arjun S

Brady, David W	Journal Article
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Publication	2011.
Summary/Abstract	In President Obama's words, the Democratic Party experienced a "shellacking" in the 2010 elections. In particular, the net loss of 63 House seats was the biggest midterm loss suffered by a party since 1938-the largest in the lifetimes of approximately 93% of the American population.

Key Words

United States ; Obama ; Elections - 2010 ; Democractic Party ; American Population

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ID: 111954

Big sort that wasn't: a skeptical reexamination / Abrams, Samuel J; Fiorina, Morris P

Fiorina, Morris P	Journal Article
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Publication

2012.

Summary/Abstract

In 2008 journalist Bill Bishop achieved the kind of notice that authors dream about. His book, The Big Sort: Why the Clustering of Like-Minded America Is Tearing Us Apart, was mentioned regularly during the presidential campaign; most notably, former president Bill Clinton urged audiences to read the book. Bishop's thesis is that Americans increasingly are choosing to live in neighborhoods populated with people just like themselves. In turn, these residential choices have produced a significant increase in geographic political polarization. Bishop does not contend that people consciously decide to live with fellow Democrats or Republicans; rather political segregation is a byproduct of the correlations between political views and the various demographic and life-style indicators people consider when making residential decisions. Whatever the cause, Bishop contends that the resulting geographic polarization is a troubling and dangerous development.

Key Words

America ; Bill Clinton ; Skeptical Reexamination ; Geographic Political Polarization

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