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ID:
169073
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| Summary/Abstract |
Why do fraudulent elections encourage protesting? Scholars suggest that information about fraud shapes individuals’ beliefs and propensity to protest. Yet these accounts neglect the complexity of opinion formation and have not been tested at the individual level. We distinguish between the mobilizing effects of actual incidents of election fraud and individuals’ subjective perceptions of fraud. While rational updating models would imply that both measures similarly affect mobilization, we argue that subjective fraud perceptions are more consistent predictors of protesting, also being shaped by attitudes, information, and community networks. Our empirical analysis uses geo-referenced individual-level data on fraud events, fraud perception, and protesting from the 2007 Nigerian elections. Our analysis yields two main findings: proximity to reported fraud has no effect on protesting and citizens perceiving elections as fraudulent are consistently more likely to protest, and more so if embedded in community networks.
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| 2 |
ID:
107086
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| Publication |
2011.
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| Summary/Abstract |
This article is based on a speech delivered by Chief Anyaoku on 5 July 2010 in London, as part of the joint centenary celebrations of this journal and the Royal Over-Seas League. The article offers the author's reflections on the achievements and the challenges of the Commonwealth, and provides some advice on how the organisation should develop for the future. In particular, Chief Anyaoku reiterates the need for the Commonwealth to remain true to its fundamental principles and to advance and promote its core values.
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