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ID:
113158
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| Publication |
2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Money, sex, murder, conspiracy: the Bo Xilai affair has all the makings of a political thriller. But there is nothing fictional about the reality show currently unfolding before the eyes of 1.3 billion people in China. The significance of this drama for China's future should not be underestimated. International media coverage ofthe affair has missed a crucial point: scandalous as it may be, Bo's downfall may have opened a window of opportunity for reform-minded Chinese leaders to build consensus for launching serious political reforms. Bo himself is facing accusations of corruption, at least for now, but the real issue goes beyond the need to crack down on corruption among party officials, which is so widespread that the very foundation of the Communist Party's rule is threatened.
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| 2 |
ID:
149320
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| Summary/Abstract |
China is approaching a series of turning points on its path of dramatic national transformation. After more than three decades of successful reforms, the nation has reached critical junctures in its economic, social, political, environmental, technological, intellectual, national security, and foreign policy development. Diminishing economic returns have set in, as the main elements of the broad reform program first launched by Deng Xiaoping in 1978 can no longer spur China's continued modernization over the next decades. The Chinese economy has transitioned from developing-country status to newly-industrialized economy (NIE) status. The challenge for the next two decades is to become a fully developed economy. To accomplish this, substantial changes are required.
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| 3 |
ID:
131066
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2014.
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| Summary/Abstract |
This article provides a response to Brantly Womack's article in this issue on a multinodal view of the global world and China's rise within it. Has globalization ushered in a new and stable structural system based on connectivity and multinodal networks?
I argue here that globalization may be more fragile and beset with system-level risk than in Womack's view. Its future depends on investment in global institutions and global governance by states and networks of private and sub-state actors. Likewise, states may increasingly be caught in networks of interconnections and dependency, while at the same time they must deal with great social forces and struggles that could yet break key links in the system. In sum, agency, political leadership, and institutions matter. The system is dynamic and interactive. It is vulnerable and dependent on active coordination. Even China's trajectory within this system can take very different paths, based on the political choices of its leaders and other players.
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| 4 |
ID:
107584
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