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| 1 |
ID:
114689
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2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
The European Monetary Union (EMU) is inherently unstable, and will be prone to repeated financial and fiscal crises. These crises pose a clear threat to NATO security and the political institutions of Alliance member states. There is no definitive way to eliminate the risks posed by monetary union, but straightforward reforms in EMU sovereign debt management represent a low-cost near-term means of mitigating these risks. With EMU nations facing a seeming leadership vacuum, it is well within NATO purview to press for adoption of such reforms.
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| 2 |
ID:
114690
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| Publication |
2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
Adopting the analytical framework of the established interpretive "schools" of Anglo-American relations, this article offers several reflections on UK-US defense relations as they occurred over the significant years of 2000-2005. During those years, trajectories were established on which UK-US defense relations continue to travel today and outcomes emerged which are still being navigated. This article concludes that the Latin phrase, "Flectas Non Frangas" (essentially translated as: "Bend not Break"), is the most appropriate to adopt to characterize the developments undergone in recent UK-US defense relations. Many historical and strategic lessons with contemporary relevance are drawn.
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| 3 |
ID:
114687
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| Publication |
2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
In February 2012, Iran announced its willingness to resume negotiations with the Western powers. This statement followed in the wake of a damning report by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors and the imposition of additional sanctions by the international community on an Iranian economy already under pressure. Tehran's announcement also coincided with increased speculation regarding an Israeli military strike on Iranian nuclear facilities. At the same time, however, this seemingly positive step appeared to be undermined by Iran's concomitant announcement that "huge" technical progress has been made on Iran's nuclear programme. This article will explore the significance of the recent political, diplomatic and technical developments in the Iranian nuclear affair and situate them in the broader context of Tehran's nuclear strategy. The analysis will assess the potential for this latest phase in the Iranian nuclear crisis to reverse Iran's current trajectory and initiate a rapprochement between Iran and Western powers.
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| 4 |
ID:
114688
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| Publication |
2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
The ultimate goal of Iran's nuclear programme remains uncertain. While the nuclear reactor of Bushehr has finally been connected to the power grid, the nuclear fuel enrichment activities and their location cause concern to the international community. Thirty years of nuclear investments demonstrate a negative cost-benefit analysis: technical constraints and economic and infrastructural requirements constitute a burden on the implementation of a nuclear programme. This article analyses the economic, legal, technical and political aspects of the Iranian programme in order to uncover its civil and/or military finality.
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| 5 |
ID:
114691
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| Publication |
2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
The goal of this article is to challenge the assumption of rationality in the behavior of decision-making units involved in security, defense, intelligence and warfare and to consider the influence of "motivated bias" in such instances. A review of motivational literature within international politics and a discussion of literature applying "motivated biases" to warfare and strategic surprise will offer an alternative view of the primacy of rationality in such decisions.
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| 6 |
ID:
114692
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2012.
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The peace treaty between Israel and Egypt has survived since 1979. Even so, following the events in Egypt, there is a growing tension between the two states, particularly surrounding the Sinai, which could cause a crisis and even a war. In such a case, the main battlefield would be in Sinai, and there would be several dominant aspects. Some of them would appear for the first time, compared with previous wars, such as a collision between Israeli and Egyptian units of around corps size. Other aspects would be more familiar, such as the ratio between the size of the forces to that of the battlefield, the "fog of war," night fighting, "friendly fire" and deception.
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