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1 |
ID:
128133
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Publication |
2013.
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Summary/Abstract |
On June 18 as Afghan president Hamid Karzai and the high peace council prepared to start talks independently with the Taliban in Doha, Emirate of Qatar, the United States after playing hide and seek and holding undisclosed intermittent talks in Doha for more than a year announced that it will be opening direct talks with Taliban leaders within days. At the time of writing, these talks have not begun, but a US delegation has arrived in Doha and they expect to begin talking soon
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2 |
ID:
115425
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3 |
ID:
184202
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Summary/Abstract |
Militant groups that are in armed conflict with a government often coexist with political parties that have ethnic or ideological connections to them. In this article, we explore the extent to which electoral support received by militant associated opposition parties and nationally incumbent political parties influences subnational variation in militant attacks. We argue, and empirically demonstrate, that militants strategically target localities where the levels of electoral support for the opposition party and the nationally incumbent party are close in an effort to negatively influence the electoral performance of the incumbent party. To illustrate this dynamic we examine subnational data from 1995 to 2015 Turkish legislative elections and attacks organized by the Kurdish militants within the same time period. We also examine the impact of June 2015 legislative elections on militant attacks until the snap elections in November 2015. Our empirical examination shows that militants target localities where electoral support for the governing party and Kurdish opposition party is close. Moreover, increase in violence negatively influences the electoral performance of the governing party. However, it does not consistently have a significant influence on the opposition. The findings illustrate that militants strategically choose the location of their attacks based on electoral dynamics, and attacks can pose an electoral challenge to the governing party.
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4 |
ID:
125535
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Publication |
2013.
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Summary/Abstract |
Despite US missile strikes and domestic military offensives, Al-Qaeda's Yemini affiliate continues to pose a threat to the country. Iona Craig examines why its use to English language propaganda could indicate an attack on the West.
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5 |
ID:
125534
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Publication |
2013.
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Summary/Abstract |
The four day siege of a Kenyan shopping centre targeting civilians could mark a shift in operational tempo for Harakat-al-Shabaab al Mujahideen. Will Hartley examines the westgate mall assault and the implications of Al-Shabaab's link with Al-Qaeda
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6 |
ID:
125357
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Publication |
2013.
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Summary/Abstract |
Attacks against schools and civilians in northeast Nigeria indicated that the Boko Haram militant group is escalated its campaign in reaction to the country's state of emergency. Will Hartley looks at the attacks and the government's response.
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