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| 1 |
ID:
140260
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| Summary/Abstract |
We explore the impact of strategic assessment efforts on military organizations at war. To do so, we construct a model to explore the impact of a principal’s choice among imperfect performance metrics for a military operation. In doing so, the principal must consider both the incentivizing and informational properties of the metric. We show the conditions under which uncertainty regarding the nature of the agent, as well as uncertainty regarding the operational environment, drives a metric choice that induces pathological behavior from the agent. More specifically, a poor metric choice can create an overly optimistic assessment and end up prolonging the conflict. We illustrate the model’s insights in the cases of World War II and the Vietnam War.
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| 2 |
ID:
116069
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| Publication |
2012.
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| Summary/Abstract |
The authors engage in the debate over waste in military force structure planning by rigorously deconstructing the concept of "redundancy." First, a typology of redundancy is constructed that provides a common framework for identifying variety among redundant structures. These are labeled "true redundancy," "expanded capacity," "portfolio diversification," and "mission overlap." Further, a number of mechanisms are identified that produce these types of structures, and show the conditions under which planners may utilize redundant structure in the search for optimization. In sum, the article provides refined concepts for analysts and planners to identify when redundancy is deleterious or beneficial.
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