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MILTON, DANIEL (4) answer(s).
 
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ID:   190776


Helping or hurting? the impact of foreign fighters on militant group behavior / Bacon, Tricia; Ellis, Grace ; Milton, Daniel   Journal Article
Milton, Daniel Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract How do foreign fighters affect militant group behavior? Recent studies have examined the impact of foreign fighters on broader conflict outcomes, but we explore their specific impact on group behavior. Using foreign fighter data, we find that the presence of foreign fighters is positively related to group longevity, use of suicide operations, and the geographic spread of its operations. We elaborate on these findings in a case study of foreign fighters in al-Shabaab. This article provides important contributions to both scholarship and policy, elucidating the ideological and logistical impact of foreign fighters on tactics, target choices, and group lifespan.
Key Words Terrorism  Insurgency  Foreign fighters  Militants Groups 
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2
ID:   188018


Strength from the Shadows? How Shadow Economies Affect Terrorist Activities / Jadoon, Amira; Milton, Daniel   Journal Article
Milton, Daniel Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract Despite scholarly interest in the existence and consequences of the crime-terror nexus, little research has been done to examine how the presence of an illegal economic area, known as a shadow economy, impacts terrorist activity in a country. We propose a theory which argues that terrorists are able to rely on the partnerships and resources available in the shadow economy to increase their organizational capacity. Using data on terrorist activity and the size of the shadow economy, our empirical results show that the larger the shadow economy, the greater the number of overall terrorist attacks, fatalities, and certain types of mass-casualty events that a country experiences.
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3
ID:   190762


Targeting quality or quantity? the divergent effects of targeting upper verses lower-tier leaders of militant organizations / Jadoon, Amira; Mines, Andrew ; Milton, Daniel   Journal Article
Milton, Daniel Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract Research on the efficacy of leadership decapitation has focused primarily on targeting the topmost leaders of groups. Yet, most organizations rely on multiple leaders with specific functional or geographical responsibilities, rather than a single symbolic leader. In this context, we pose the following question: how are the effects of leadership decapitation on a group’s short-term operational capacity conditioned by the type or rank of targeted leaders? We argue that due to the risks faced by militant organizations, upper-tier leaders will delegate operational duties to lower-tier leadership for security purposes. Because of the shift of the principal-agent dynamic to lower-tier leaders, targeting of lower ranked leaders versus topmost leaders is more likely to result in a loss of control over foot soldiers, and trigger negative effects such as a rise in indiscriminate violence. We conduct our study using the case of Islamic State Khorasan in Afghanistan, with weekly data on the group’s attacks, and multi-tier leadership losses between 2015–2019 across 72 districts.
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4
ID:   120441


Unpacking the connection between terror and Islam / Conrad, Justin; Milton, Daniel   Journal Article
Conrad, Justin Journal Article
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Publication 2013.
Summary/Abstract Are countries with large Muslim populations more likely to experience or produce transnational terrorist attacks than countries with fewer Muslims? And if there is a difference, is it attributable to the influence of Islam, or to the economic, social, and political conditions that are common in predominantly Muslim countries? Analyzing all transnational terrorist attacks between 1973 and 2002, this study uses decomposition analysis to identify the relative contributions of the observable and behavioral characteristics of a state on the amount of terrorism that it experiences and produces. The results suggest that Muslim states do not systematically produce more terrorism than non-Muslim states once state repression, human rights abuses, and discrimination against minorities are taken into account.
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