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ID: 122318

Behavioral model of muddling through in the Chinese bureaucrac: the case of environmental protection / Zhou, Xueguang; Lian, Hong; Ortolano, Leonard; Yinyu Ye

Ortolano, Leonard	Journal Article
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2013.

Summary/Abstract

How do we characterize and explain the behavioral patterns of the Chinese bureaucracy amid China's great transformation over the past three decades? The prevailing "tournament competition" model presented in the literature emphasizes the role of incentive design to explain bureaucratic behaviors. We develop an alternative model of "muddling through"-characterized by a reactive response to multiple pressures, constant readjustments and a focus on short-term gains-to explain the behavioral patterns of China's intermediate government agencies. We explain the underlying multiple bureaucratic logics that induce these behavioral patterns and the institutional conditions under which such behavioral patterns prevail. We illustrate the research issues, analytical concepts and theoretical arguments, using a case study of a municipal environmental protection bureau implementing the Five-Year Plan, between 2006 and 2010.

Key Words

China ; Environmental protection ; Chinese Bureaucracy ; China's Intermediate Government Agencies ; Behavioral Model

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ID: 144865

Toward a behavioral model of “homegrown” radicalization trajectories / Klausen, Jytte; Campion, Selene ; Needle, Nathan ; Nguyen, Giang

Klausen, Jytte	Article
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Summary/Abstract

This research note presents a dynamic risk assessment model of homegrown terrorists. The model was tested in a study of convicted “homegrown” American terrorism offenders inspired by Al Qaeda's ideology. The New York Police Department model developed by Silber and Bhatt was chosen as the basis for creating a typology of overt and detectable indicators of individual behaviors widely thought to be associated with extremism. Twenty-four specific cues associated with each stage of radicalization were used to code and estimate the sequencing of behaviors and the duration of the average radicalization trajectory. Sixty-eight cases have been analyzed thus far. A decision was made to publish the initial results when it became apparent that the model was an effective tool for the evaluation of terrorist offenders.

Key Words

Homegrown ; Behavioral Model ; Radicalization Trajectories ; Dynamic Risk Assessment Model ; Homegrown Terrorists

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