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GOLOV, AVNER (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   127125


Deterrence in the Gulf war: evaluating new evidence / Golov, Avner   Journal Article
Golov, Avner Journal Article
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Publication 2013.
Summary/Abstract A recently published collection of captured Iraqi records offers an opportunity to better understand Saddam Hussein's perception of US and Israeli deterrence signals, affording innovative insights into the reasons behind Iraq's restraint from using weapons of mass destruction against Israeli targets during the 1991 Gulf War. This article tests a wide range of suggested hypotheses, and suggests that US and Israeli deterrence played only a minimal role in dissuading Iraqi use of WMD. The article concludes with some thoughts on the practical implications, particularly on the effectiveness of a "no-first-use" nuclear policy.
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2
ID:   139501


Rational limitations of a nonconventional deterrence regime: the Iranian case / Guzansky, Yoel; Golov, Avner   Article
Guzansky, Yoel Article
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Summary/Abstract The question of how to measure a state's rationality and compatibility with deterrence must be confronted in order to address the broader theoretical discussion concerning the credibility and effectiveness of deterrence. This article broadens Janice Stein's three-condition model of potential constraints of deterrence as a theory and a strategy. It then applies this revised model as a means of identifying potential obstacles to a future nonconventional deterrence regime with Iran, concluding with an assessment as to whether this analysis can support the argument that such a future deterrence regime would be stable.
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