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KOREAN STRATEGY (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   130547


Command without control: nuclear crisis instability on the Korean Peninsula / O'Neil, Andrew   Journal Article
O'Neil, Andrew Journal Article
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Publication 2014.
Summary/Abstract Purpose-To assess the prospects for managing crises on the Korean Peninsula. Design/methodology/approach-this article investigates North Korea's nuclear behavior using theories of crisis instability, which focus on the actual or perceived incentives of a nuclear weapon state to strike first during a crisis. Findings-Pyongyang's embryonic command and control capabilities mean that rapid escalation to full-scale conflict is a greater prospect than generally acknowledged. Practical implications-This raises questions about the ability of protagonists to avoid escalation resulting from miscalculation in future crises on the Korean Peninsula and has implications for policy makers in devising strategies to deter North Korea from undertaking behavior that risks escalation while reassuring elites in Pyongyang.
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2
ID:   128066


N. Korea lays out conditions for talks / Davenport, Kelsey   Journal Article
Davenport, Kelsey Journal Article
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Publication 2013.
Summary/Abstract North Korea indicated last month that it may be willing to suspend nuclear and ballistic missile tests if abandoned talks with a group of five countries over Pyongyang's nuclear activities resume. In an official commentary released by the Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) on Oct. 9, Pyongyang suggested that it would make this commitment after the talks restart, "not as a precondition" to resume negotiations. Satellite launches would also be exempt, KCNA reported. The so-called six-party talks, which include China, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and the United States, began in 2003 and continued intermittently until 2008, when North Korea said it would no longer participate. A South Korean official said in an Oct. 28 interview that North Korea made a similar offer at an informal meeting with former U.S. officials in Berlin in September, according to his briefing on the meeting. The South Korean government was not represented at the meeting, nor were any current U.S. officials present, he said. North Korean Vice Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho represented Pyongyang. The official, however, expressed doubt about the sincerity of North Korea's offer, saying that North Korea "often reneges" on verbal and written agreements
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