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INTERNATIONAL TRADE AGREEMENT - ITA (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   128267


Foreign direct investment and institutional diversity in trade : credibility, commitment, and economic flows in the developing world, 1971-2007 / Buthe, Tim; Milner, Helen V   Journal Article
Buthe, Tim Journal Article
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Publication 2014.
Summary/Abstract International trade agreements lead to more foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing countries. This article examines the causal mechanisms underpinning this trade-investment linkage by asking whether institutional features of preferential trade agreements (PTAs), which allow governments to make more credible commitments to protect foreign investments, indeed result in greater FDI. The authors explore three institutional differences. First, they examine whether PTAs that have entered into force lead to greater FDI than PTAs that have merely been negotiated and signed, since only the former constitute a binding commitment under international law. Second, they ask whether trade agreements that have investment clauses lead to greater FDI. Third, they consider whether PTAs with dispute-settlement mechanisms lead to greater FDI. Analyses of FDI flows into 122 developing countries from 1971 to 2007 show that trade agreements that include stronger mechanisms for credible commitment induce more FDI. Institutional diversity in international agreements matters.
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2
ID:   131002


Trade policy, economic interests, and party politics in a devel: the political economy of CAFTA-DR / Hicks, Raymond; Milner, Helen V; Tingley, Dustin   Journal Article
Milner, Helen V Journal Article
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Publication 2014.
Summary/Abstract Developing countries have increasingly opened their economies to trade. Research about trade policy in developed countries focuses on a bottom-up process by identifying economic preferences of domestic groups. We know less about developing countries. We analyze how economic and political variables influenced Costa Rican voters in a referendum on CAFTA-DR, an international trade agreement. We find little support for Stolper-Samuelson models of economic preferences, but more support for specific factor models. We also isolate the effects of political parties on the referendum, controlling for many economic factors; we document how at least one party influenced voters and this made the difference for CAFTA-DR passage. Politics, namely parties using their organizational strength to cue and frame messages for voters, influenced this important trade policy decision. Theories about trade policy need to take into account top-down political factors along with economic interests.
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