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ID:
127452
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2014.
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| Summary/Abstract |
SINCE EARLY 2011, political developments in Egypt and Syria have repeatedly captured the attention of the American foreign-policy elite. The Obama administration has tried to guide the turbulent political situation in post-Mubarak Egypt and become increasingly engaged in Syria's bloody civil war. The United States is already helping arm some of the forces fighting against the Assad regime, and President Obama came close to attacking Syria following its use of chemical weapons in August 2013. Washington is now directly involved in the effort to locate and destroy Syria's chemical-weapons stockpiles.
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| 2 |
ID:
127456
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2014.
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| Summary/Abstract |
THE U.S. National Intelligence Council forecasts that China will become the world's largest economy (measured by purchasing-power parity) in 2022. Jane's predicts that by 2015 People's Liberation Army (PLA) funding will double to $238 billion, surpassing that of NATO's eight largest militaries after the United States combined. The International Institute for Strategic Studies says that China's defense spending might surpass America's as early as 2025. Even if these projections prove exaggerated, economic, technical and industrial activity of an amazing scope and intensity is already affording China potent military capabilities. This is especially the case when such capabilities are applied-most likely through peacetime deterrence, or a limited skirmish with a neighbor such as Vietnam-to the "near seas" (the Yellow, East China and South China Seas), currently a major Chinese strategic focus.
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| 3 |
ID:
127454
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2014.
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IN HIS BOOK Diplomacy, Henry Kissinger concludes that the United States "faces the challenge of reaching its goals in stages, each of which is an amalgam of American values and geopolitical necessities."1 The recent debates about U.S. military options in Libya and Syria reflect the enduring tension between these intertwined, at times competing components of our external relations. No U.S. statesman can ignore this dilemma, and none will find it easy to strike exactly the right balance between the two, especially in times of crisis.
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| 4 |
ID:
127453
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2014.
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TWO AND A HALF years after it began, the revolution was widely considered a quagmire, even a disaster. Rebels had made disappointingly little headway against the forces of the hated tyrant. The capital and the country's second major city remained under his control. Foreign powers had provided sympathy, but very little real aid. And despite promising to respect human rights, rebel forces were committing widespread abuses, including murder, torture and destruction of property. In short, the bright hopes of an earlier spring were fading fast.
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| 5 |
ID:
127455
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| Publication |
2014.
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BETWEEN THE TRIAL of Chelsea (formerly known as Bradley) Manning and the revelations of Edward Snowden, the debate regarding the leakers and their information has focused primarily on the balance between liberty and security, or between government transparency and secrecy. This is a necessary, even overdue, discussion. But it is also important to reflect upon the lasting damage these unauthorized disclosures will have on future U.S. intelligence collection.
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