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WERTHER, GUNTRAM F. A (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   135984


Introduction to the AF&S forum on national/social resilience / Werther, Guntram F. A   Article
Werther, Guntram F. A Article
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Summary/Abstract This AF&S Forum on National/Social Resilience includes four connected papers, each looking at the concept and its applications in different ways that are individually and collectively useful for a military leadership and practitioner audience. Each article, its perspectives, approaches, and implications, is briefly discussed in this Introduction, and also formally referenced in the hope that readers will engage the entire Forum. Moreover, the Forum authors hope that reader’s interest will be heightened leading to further research on this important topic.
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ID:   135986


Resilience: its conceptual links to creating society-specific forecasts about emerging change / Werther, Guntram F. A   Article
Werther, Guntram F. A Article
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Summary/Abstract As part of a multi-article presentation about national and social resilience to the military practitioner community, the article initially embeds the concept of resilience into a concept of change. From this grounding discussion, the profiling of national/social resilience is presented as a useful part of building an improved intelligence process of holistic change forecasting. Next, as a better way of seeing and evaluating how different nations and societies will uniquely respond to crises, uniquely recover post-crisis and thereafter change into their future, a way of using resilience change profiling to improve intelligence foresight and forecasting is detailed. Also, an argument is presented that during periods of financial stress, such an approach has efficacy, economy-of-force and other comparative advantage benefits to Western military organizations.
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