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| 1 |
ID:
137228
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| Summary/Abstract |
This study aims to discuss whether the Korean Peninsula is included among the core interests claimed by China. The core interests of China are those interests that it is unwilling to negotiate over, and interests that they will even use military power to protect. China’s official core interests have so far been limited to Taiwan, Tibet and Xinjiang, but their list of core interests has been expanding in scope
since the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands dispute. Furthermore, including the Korean Peninsula among China’s core interests leads to an immense ripple-effect on not only South Korea but also the security of Northeast Asia and U.S.-China relations. This study analyzes the following research questions: What are the core interests of China? Is the Korean Peninsula included in China’s core interests? Will the Korean Peninsula only be included in China’s core interests in the event of an emergency? If it is included, what is the specific object or likely scenario? This study conducts an in-depth analysis of the questions above and provides policy implications for the South Korean government.
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| 2 |
ID:
153508
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| Summary/Abstract |
This study investigates the consequences of sudden regime changes in North Korea.
The study considers how large volumes of refugees would affect South Korea and
other neighboring countries. It also proposes likely countermeasures for South
Korea and its allies. If sudden regime change in North Korea were to lead to largescale
refugees entering China, Russia, Japan, and South Korea; it could bring
massive changes in the balance of power in Northeast Asia. A refugee crisis of this
magnitude demands meticulous planning to minimize unexpected consequences
to the region. This paper examines the following questions: What is the decisionmaking
process that refugees undergo when deciding to leave North Korea? What
would be the volume of North Korean refugees heading into China, Russia, and
Japan? What would be the volume of refugees entering South Korea? What would
be the most likely routes taken by refugees? This study analyzes these questions and
suggests policy implications for the South Korean government.
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