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| 1 |
ID:
176461
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| 2 |
ID:
191023
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| Summary/Abstract |
GLOBAL political forecasting, given the difficulty of its empirical testing, is often on the periphery of those working in diplomacy. In light of the growing number of challenges facing foreign ministries, many international relations practitioners believe that it is more important to deal with current problems and that the task of thinking about the future is best left to those in academia, who have more time for intellectual constructs and abstractions.
Nevertheless, even amid the difficult conditions presently facing Russia, when it is even more difficult to plan out actions and reactions in advance, it seems relevant to pose the question: What if the current models and trends that we regard as generally correct and inevitable are not quite right?..
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| 3 |
ID:
138212
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| Summary/Abstract |
Russian policymakers and economists are concerned about the possible dire consequences of the sharp drop in oil prices. I would like to share some little-known facts showing that the price component has always been the weakest point in Russian energy policy, and propose some measures that may help overcome this trend, which is dangerous to Russian interests.
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| 4 |
ID:
140152
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| Summary/Abstract |
In underscoring the difficulty of predicting the Kremlins next steps, many Westerners would often cite Winston Churchill's famous reference to Russia as a "riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma." Few, however, recall the remainder of that 1939 adage: "But perhaps there is a key. That key is Russian national interests."
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