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| 1 |
ID:
060353
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| Publication |
Oct-Dec 2004.
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| 2 |
ID:
023135
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| Publication |
2002.
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| Description |
p39-51
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| Summary/Abstract |
The Kurdish autonomous region in northern Iraq, created in the wake of the Gulf War in 1991, is abuzz with a sense of foreboding and excitement. There is fear that Saddam Hussein may take his revenge on the Kurds for any US-led attack, and that the Turks could intervene. The Turks fear that any post-war Iraqi Kurdish federal unit will be a stepping stone to eventual independence. Although Kurdish politicians will not say so publicly, they certainly hope that this indeed will be the case. The two main parties have put aside their differences and reconvened the Kurdish parliament. There are also plans to drive out an Islamic fundamentalist group holed up in the mountains, allegedly supported by Iran, Iraq and al-Qaeda. The Kurds may do well out of any US-led offensive on Iraq. If the future Iraq is federal and democratic, the Kurds will have a powerful voice in Baghdad and control of their own affairs – and future generations will be far better placed to achieve the long-term aim of secession and independence.
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| 3 |
ID:
060490
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| 4 |
ID:
085460
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| Publication |
2008.
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| Summary/Abstract |
This paper, completed as Ankara was considering extending its green light to cross-border military operations in northern Iraq, will explore a range of possible outcomes for Iraq, and Ankara's stakes in and policy preferences for Iraq and particularly northern Iraq. It will consider the aspirations of Iraq's Kurds, and the domestic, regional and international constraints on both Iraq's Kurds and Turkey. A range of alternative policy approaches available to Ankara will be discussed, and their implications assessed. The paper will argue that, whatever the outcome for Iraq overall, a high degree of Iraqi Kurdish independence will be an unavoidable feature of the region's political arrangements. Ankara's adjustment to this reality will be difficult.
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| 5 |
ID:
067333
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