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ID:
148941
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| Summary/Abstract |
Chinese President Xi Jinping emphatically rejects the so-called Thucydides Trap and its analogy that a rising China is destined for war with the United States, the status quo great power. But there is a contradiction between Beijing's peaceable rhetoric about a “New Type of Major Power Relations” with the US, and Beijing's disregard for the US and its allies. concerns about rising Chinese assertiveness in the East and South China Seas. It is not inconceivable that smaller Chinese and American allies in East Asia might well drag the US and China into a conflict rather than a conflict directly caused by the “power transition” between the two great powers per se.
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| 2 |
ID:
152542
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| Summary/Abstract |
For all the promises of mutually beneficial cooperation, Chinese policy documents about the New Silk Road, also called ‘One Belt, One Road’, mostly testify to a strong ambition to unlock foreign markets and support domestic firms in taking on foreign competitors. This confirms China’s shift from defensive mercantilism, which aims to protect the home market, towards offensive mercantilism, which seeks to gain market shares abroad. In a context of global economic stagnation, this comes as a major challenge to Europe. As China’s market share grows spectacularly in countries along the New Silk Road, key European member states have both lost market shares and even seen their exports shrink in absolute terms.
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| 3 |
ID:
153115
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| Summary/Abstract |
China’s One Belt, One Road (OBOR) initiative has attracted worldwide attention, and a solid
foundation for the initiative has been laid at home and in the neighbouring regions of Southeast Asia.
While many countries may not have imagined the possibility of reviving the Silk Route, China has not
only coined the term OBOR but also taken steps to bring it close to reality. Despite the various challenges
posed by the initiative to their national strategies and to the regional security order, developing countries
along the OBOR have an opportunity to improve connectivity and transform their economic conditions by
exploring complementarities through trade, investment and greater people-to-people exchanges. From the
South Asian point of view, OBOR presents multiple opportunities as well as dilemmas. The puzzles need
to be addressed to shape the connectivity agenda of the region and to harness the benefits of integration,
which may require joint development and sharing of responsibility among economically stronger countries.
Greater cooperation among South Asian countries will be critical in shaping the connectivity agenda,
through OBOR or otherwise, in the South Asian region.
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| 4 |
ID:
140313
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| 5 |
ID:
166801
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| Summary/Abstract |
China today has the interest, money and technology to build the Kra Canal in Southern Thailand consonant to Chinese President Xi Jinping's grand strategy of a Maritime Silk Road. Notwithstanding China's rise and friendly relations with Thailand, the Kra Canal project has stalled due to gridlock in Thai domestic politics. Beijing cannot simply impose its infrastructural preferences on Bangkok but needs the latter's consent. Thus far, that consent is not forthcoming. But if the construction of the Canal were to proceed ahead unexpectedly and quickly, it could be a navigational, trading and geopolitical game changer upon completion in Southeast Asia.
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