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RAHMAN, MUHIBBUR (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   162487


Power balancing against the rising rivals in Asia : a dyadicstructural explanation / Rahman, Muhibbur   Journal Article
Rahman, Muhibbur Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract Why do some states balance against a rising power while others prefer not to, despite facing redistribution of power alike? How does a state select partner in a balancing situation? In the context where second-tier states have little incentive to go for balancing against the United States (US) in the post-Cold War international system, this article primarily seeks to develop a dyadic structural explanation of balancing behaviour in the Asian regional subsystem. It argues that shifts in power distribution within a regional subsystem in favour of a state does not necessarily lead to power balancing on the part of other states. An intervening variable, the existence of enduring rivalries, plays a key role in this process. Rivalries create institutionalized adversarial propensities and provide stable decisional leverage to balancing. It also argues that rivalries determine alliance preferences and the magnitude of balancing. However, contemporary balancing trends in Asia lack formal alliance formation, contrary to the expectation of the main argument in this article. To explain this additional puzzle, the article develops the concept of interdependent multipolarity that characterizes the distribution of power in the post-Cold War Asia. To systematically account for the effect of rivalries on balancing, it tries to explore how the selected dyadic rivals are responding to the rising powers in Asia, and what factors are shaping their decisions.
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ID:   143830


Prospects for Sino-Indian maritime connectivity in the Indian Ocean Region / Rahman, Muhibbur   Article
Rahman, Muhibbur Article
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Summary/Abstract This paper examines the prospect for Sino-Indian maritime cooperation in the context of China’s recent multilateral maritime connectivity project known as the 21 Century Maritime Silk Road. This ambitious step as a part of China’s greater ‘Road and Belt’ initiatives generated considerable trade and infrastructure development prospects for neighbouring countries including India. However, India is highly skeptical and anxious about China’s long term motive and has taken rather an ambivalent position. Geopolitical apprehensions concerning China’s rise and the fear of China’s growing influence in the Indian Ocean made this maritime project an uneasy development for India, despite the initiative’s potential to accord the country tangible economic benefits. In addition, extraregional forces in Indian Ocean geopolitical calculations could complicate India’s maritime cooperation with China. Therefore, the complicacy involves a much broader geopolitical hedging. There is an alignment of interests among India, the US and Japan in preventing China’s deeper and long-term engagement in the Indian Ocean Region. However, economic interdependence, the need for infrastructure development as well as seaward reorientation of Indian economy could drive the country to find out a carefully crafted policy of exploiting economic benefits by engaging with China in the maritime sphere.
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