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EVIDENCE-BASED APPROACH (2) answer(s).
 
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ID:   155220


Teaching intelligence in the twenty-first century: towards an evidence-based approach for curriculum design / Walsh, Patrick F   Journal Article
Walsh, Patrick F Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract Since 9/11, the ‘Five Eyes’ countries have seen a dramatic rise in intelligence training and education courses across the national security and law enforcement contexts. However, there remains little publicly available empirical evidence to demonstrate specifically where improvements have been made to workplace practices and processes as a result of this investment. This article, argues that the education sector in the intelligence discipline lacks an evaluation research agenda, for validating the workplace effectiveness of training and education programs. Further, a first step in understanding whether curriculum are ‘fit for purpose’ may be articulating some underlying common normative principles for evaluating programs in any intelligence context.
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2
ID:   173929


Towards an evidence-based approach to communicating uncertainty in intelligence analysis / Dhami, Mandeep K   Journal Article
Dhami, Mandeep K Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract Intelligence products have a degree of uncertainty associated with them. This is typically expressed using linguistic probabilities (e.g., ‘likely’), and some organizations have adopted standardized lexicons for communicating uncertainty. This paper empirically shows that intelligence analysts use a wide heterogeneity of language to communicate uncertainty. This does not include all of the phrases in standardized lexicons used by the intelligence community. In addition, analysts may use some phrases differently to that advocated. Miscommunication of uncertainty can have deleterious effects on decision-making, and so standardization of uncertainty communication should be evidence-based. This paper discusses ways in which such evidence can be generated.
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