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ID: 180682

Impossible allies? when history and security collide: South Korea—Japan relations in context / Bae, Joonbum

Bae, Joonbum	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

To what degree are historical animosities regarding another country relevant for foreign policy in the face of changes in the security environment? This paper seeks to answer this question in the context of Korea–Japan relations. While pundits have pointed to the Korean public’s negative views of Japan—rooted in the colonial experience—as the explanation for the lack of cooperation between Japan and Korea in the security field, this paper argues changes in the level of common external threat can shift the public’s priorities from perceived historical injustices toward the needs of security. Surveys from the period when the security environment was shifting markedly—the final years of the Cold War (1986–1990)—reveal that public opinion regarding Japan relative to other powers in the region began to deteriorate only after the security environment improved, pointing to a limit to the extent that “history” trumps security.

Key Words

Security ; Japan ; Korea ; Memory ; Apology ; History ;
Foreign Policy

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ID: 174855

Limits of engagement? the sunshine policy, nuclear tests, and South Korean views of North Korea 1995–2013 / Bae, Joonbum

Bae, Joonbum	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

Can positive domestic messages generated by a foreign policy of engagement toward another country change public views regarding that state? How resistant are such changes to events that contradict the positive messages? I argue that while positive government messages about an adversary can significantly improve public opinion, highly consequential foreign policy events that contradict the messages influence public opinion at the cost of elites’ ability to shape it through their messages. Such differing effects can lead to a polarization of opinion when the content of the messages and the nature of events diverge from each other. Leveraging the unpredictability of North Korea’s foreign policy behavior, the South Korean government’s sustained policy of engagement toward it during the years 1998–2007, and North Korea’s first two nuclear tests to examine the relative impact of consequential foreign policy events and elite messages on public opinion, I find strong evidence consistent with this argument.

Key Words

North Korea ; Nuclear Tests ; Sunshine Policy ; South Korean ; 1995–2013

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ID: 159815

North Korean Regime, Domestic Instability and Foreign Policy / Bae, Joonbum

Bae, Joonbum	Journal Article
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Key Words

Violence ; Armed Forces ; Armed Conflict ; Political conflict ; Famine ; War Conflict ;
Personalism ; Foreign Policy ; Provocation Defense

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