| Srl | Item |
| 1 |
ID:
193049
|
|
|
|
|
| Summary/Abstract |
Using the data from 1991 to 2019, this study attempts to verify Okun’s law by utilizing both ‘The difference and the dynamic versions’ of Okun’s law in Bangladesh and tries to find the value of Okun’s coefficient. The autoregressive-distribution lag (ARDL) bounds test is applied to determine the existence of a long-term relationship between the variables, and then the ordinary least squares (OLS) approach is used to estimate the findings. The findings show that Okun’s coefficient is –0.058 for the difference version of Okun’s law, which is statistically insignificant. In addition, for the dynamic version of Okun’s law, findings show that the effect of the ‘immediate past economic growth rate’ on ‘current change in the unemployment rate’ is 0.15, and it is statistically insignificant too. However, the effect of the ‘current economic growth rate’ on ‘current change in the unemployment rate’ is –0.22, and it is statistically significant at 10% significance level. In both versions of Okun’s law, R2 values, F-statistic and cumulative sum of squares show the instability of the models. Due to statistically insignificant coefficients and model instability, it can be concluded that Okun’s law is invalid in Bangladesh.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2 |
ID:
165344
|
|
|
|
|
| Summary/Abstract |
The article assesses the empirical validity of Okun's law on the relationship between a country's unemployment and its output with a focus upon the Visegrád Group economies and upon the post-transition period from the first quarter of 2000 until the first quarter of 2016. The study also accounts for cyclical fluctuations in male and female unemployment and applies different approaches to the estimation of Okun coefficients. Fixed long-run Okun coefficients are compared to the trajectories identified under the state space approach based on the Kalman filter in an attempt to capture their possible time non-constancy. The findings cast doubt about the universal validity of Okun's law in the Visegrád countries in the investigated period.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|