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ID: 188115

Germany’s Russia Policy in Light of the Ukraine Conflict: Interdependence Theory and Ostpolitik / Umland, Andreas

Umland, Andreas	Journal Article
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Germany’s recent Ostpolitik (Eastern Policy) has become a major topic in Western discussions about how to deal best with Vladimir Putin’s Russia. This essay proceeds from Interdependence Theory to argue that the Berlin-promoted Nord Stream gas pipeline projects are loosening Russian-Ukrainian economic ties, and thereby easing conflict between the two post-Soviet states. Ukraine’s surprisingly peaceful development during its first 20 years as an independent state is contrasted with the escalation of tensions between Moscow and Kyiv in 2013–2014. The completion of the first Nord Stream pipe in October 2012 is seen as a crucial development that untied the Kremlin’s hand vis-à-vis Ukraine. The lowering of Moscow’s dependence on the Ukrainian gas transportation system, due to the new Baltic Sea pipeline, eventually led to a territorial conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

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Ukraine Conflict ; Germany’s Russia Policy

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ID: 173236

Perils of Path Dependency: Germany’s Russia Policy / Spanger, Hans-Joachim

Spanger, Hans-Joachim	Journal Article
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With the notable exception of the Ukraine crisis, Berlin has pursued a cooperative policy vis-à-vis Moscow, demonstrating a unique measure of understanding. This policy is consistent with the two roles that Germany has played in the international system since World War II—as a ‘civilian power’ and as a ‘trading state’. Both have proven successful in foreign policy and economic terms, but have also created a path dependency that complicated adaptability to changed conditions: indecisiveness and a propensity for the middle ground have proven to be its questionable side-effects.

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Perils of Path Dependency ; Germany’s Russia Policy

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