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ID: 177853

Measuring national power: is Putin’s Russia in decline? / Saradzhyan, Simon; Abdullaev, Nabi

Abdullaev, Nabi	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

Is Vladimir Putin’s Russia rising, stagnating or falling? Contradictory views on the dynamics of Russia’s national power inform policies and decisions with strong and lasting effects on international affairs and global security. The authors used three existing quantitative methods of measuring national power and introduced one experimental method to measure Russia’s national power and compare it with that of the leading Western states, BRICS members, former Soviet republics and oil-dependent economies. All methods demonstrated that Russia was rising against its Western competitors in 1999–2016 but trailed behind the United States, China and India in absolute national power value, though, whether Russia would be able to maintain that dynamic beyond that period was doubtful.

Key Words

Global Security ; Russia ; Vladimir Putin ; National Power

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ID: 188113

When Does Putin’s Russia March Off to War? / Saradzhyan, Simon

Saradzhyan, Simon	Journal Article
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This article examines how seven potential drivers of the Russian Federation’s military interventions played out in seven instances in which Vladimir Putin was likely to have deliberated on whether or not to use military force in foreign countries, including three instances in which the Russian leader ultimately decided to intervene and four instances in which he did not. The article contends that carefully reviewing these historical episodes could help predict Putin’s military actions in the future.

Key Words

Putin’s Russia March

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