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ID: 177859

Once and Future Peacemakers: Continuity of Third-party Involvement in Civil War Peace Processes / Chen, Chong; Beardsley, Kyle

Beardsley, Kyle	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

Despite the importance of having continuity in third-party involvement, many third parties lack the ability to commit as long-term peace guarantors. We argue that non-state actors and third parties with vested interests in peace and stability will be more likely to sustain involvement in post-conflict periods. Analysis of monthly level data from the Managing Intrastate Conflict (MIC) project confirms that third parties that have had wartime experience as conflict managers are more likely to get involved in post-conflict peace processes, regardless of whether the conflict management is in the form of peacekeeping missions, mediation or good offices; regardless of whether the third party is geographically proximate; and regardless of whether the third party is a state or non-state actor. The results also confirm that third-party geographic proximity and other measures of vested interests additively increase the propensity for postwar involvement. However, wartime conflict management experience matters less for third parties with vested interests, suggesting the additional importance of demand-side determinants of third-party conflict management.

Key Words

Africa ; Mediation ; Peacebuilding ; Civil War ; Third-Party Conflict Management

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ID: 178454

Sequence of Mediation Efforts in the Conflict between the Government of Uganda and the Lord’s Resistance Army / Aduda, Levke

Aduda, Levke	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

What impact have different mediation outcomes had on subsequent mediation onset and success in the conflict between the government of Uganda and the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA)? Intrastate conflicts commonly see more than one mediation effort. These efforts can result in different outcomes. Assessing the impact of different mediation outcomes on subsequent mediation efforts in the conflict between the governments of Uganda and the LRA, it becomes apparent that reneged agreements have aggravated subsequent mediation efforts, while mediation ending without an agreement and previous mediation success do not reduce the chances of subsequent mediation onset (and success). This suggests that short-lived agreements are not only likely to lead to renewed conflict, but also make further mediation efforts more difficult.

Key Words

Uganda ; Mediation ; Third-Party Conflict Management ; Sequencing of Mediation Efforts ; Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA)

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