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ID: 188207

Domestic politics, threat perceptions, and the alliance security dilemma: the case of South Korea, 1993-2020 / Moller, Sara Bjerg

Moller, Sara Bjerg	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

How do domestic politics affect the management of alliances? Contra Snyder (1984), I argue that states’ alliance management strategies do not arise solely in response to the external threat environment but rather differing perceptions of it by party leaders. I illustrate my argument through a plausibility probe of the U.S.-South Korean military alliance, demonstrating how South Korean leaders’ partisan interpretations of the threat environment affected intra-alliance bargaining in the coordination of military affairs. Consistent with the framework developed here, I find that partisan differences do a better job explaining alliance dynamics over the past quarter century than systemic factors alone.

Key Words

Domestic Politics ; Security Dilemma ; Threat Perceptions ; Case of South Korea ; 1993-2020

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ID: 186094

Learning from losing: how defeat shapes coalition dynamics in wartime / Moller, Sara Bjerg

Moller, Sara Bjerg	Journal Article
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When and why do coalitions adapt in wartime? Drawing on insights from organizational research and bargaining theories of war, this paper develops a model of coalitional military adaptation. I argue that coalition members are slow to adjust their wartime fighting arrangements owing to collective action problems as well as the military and political practicalities inherent in coalition warfare. I illustrate my argument with a case study of the Austro-German coalition in World War I.

Key Words

Coalitions ; Military Adaptation ; Wartime Learning

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ID: 177886

Revitalizing Transatlantic Relations: NATO 2030 and Beyond / Moller, Sara Bjerg; Rynning, Sten

Rynning, Sten	Journal Article
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As the United States and the world begins to adjust to a Biden presidency, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) once again finds itself at a crossroads. Diplomats and transatlantic supporters on both sides of the Atlantic collectively expelled a sigh of relief last November that a second Trump term—which many feared might spell the end of the 72-year-old alliance—had not come to pass. However, the mood is far from celebratory in either Washington or European capitals because all parties understand that, to steer clear of irrelevancy and remain “fit for purpose,” NATO needs renewal—the question is how?

Key Words

Revitalizing Transatlantic Relations ; NATO 2030 and Beyond

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