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ID:   179236


Demographic security of Russia and China: main factors of influence / Komarova, T   Journal Article
Komarova, T Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract This article calculates and analyzes the integral demographic security index of Russia and China for the period 2001-2018. The following indicators were used to calculate the integral demographic security index: fertility rate; mortality rate; infant mortality rate; total fertility rate; natural increase rate; share of the population under 15 years old; share of the population over 65 years old; life expectancy; migration growth rate. The integral demographic security index was calculated from the average sum of individual indicators. It is shown that both countries are currently located in a zone of social tension. Russia's security indicators are lower than China's, suggesting that there are more factors that worsen Russia's security indicator performance. The factors that have the greatest impact on the decline of the demographic security indicators are low fertility and increase in the share of the population over 65 years old. It is shown that one of the factors of low fertility is the reduction in the number of women of fertile age. The increase in life expectancy contributes to the rapid growth of the share of the older age population, it is growing particularly fast in China. Unfavorable demographic trends can further lead to a slowdown in economic growth and generally affect the geopolitical situation.
Key Words China  Russia  Factors  Population Aging  Demographic Security  Integral Index 
Low Fertility 
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