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ID: 185150

Dynamics of Pakistan’s Nuclear Doctrine: Implications for Strategic Stability in South Asia / Ali, Iftikhar ; Sidhu, Jatswan S

Iftikhar Ali	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

This article seeks to discuss Pakistan’s nuclear doctrine and its significance for strategic stability in South Asia which is challenged by complex interactions between different players in political, military, and technological dynamics. In particular, India’s easy access to technology and the challenges for Pakistan associated with fears of low-intensity conflicts due to Indian offensive strategies have resulted in dangerous instabilities. The Indian technological advancement has inevitably brought revolutionary changes in the strategic thought process thus continuously forcing Pakistan to modify or upgrade its nuclear doctrine. We argue that Pakistan’s nuclear doctrine is ambiguous, and the changing contours of Pakistan’s nuclear doctrine are within the framework of how technological advancement navigates strategic stability in the South Asian region.

Key Words

Deterrence ; Nuclear weapon ; Doctrine ; Strategic Stability ; Nuclear Revolution

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ID: 184119

India’s Doctrinal Modifications: Counterforce Temptations in South Asia / Ali, Iftikhar ; Sidhu, Jatswan S

Iftikhar Ali	Journal Article
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This paper assists in understanding contesting technological capabilities and doctrinal modification between India and Pakistan that are drifting South Asia towards instability, leaving the nuclear deterrence in a dark abyss. Hawks on both sides of the nuclear armed rivals are unprecedentedly chanting threats of nuclear war. More bothersome is the indications of shifting the Indian policy of No First Use (NFU), calls for doctrinal modifications and counterforce temptations. An Indian quest for escalation dominance and Pakistani quest for stability against India is in fact a mutual struggle beyond ‘minimum credible’ to ‘assured second strike’ capabilities.

Key Words

Nuclear Weapons ; Deterrence ; Strategic Stability ; No-First-Use ; Counterforce

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ID: 188935

Strategic Dynamics of Crisis Stability in South Asia / Ali, Iftikhar ; Sidhu, Jatswan S

Iftikhar Ali	Journal Article
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Summary/Abstract

In contrast to the pervasive confidence that the development of nuclear weapons ensures peace and stability by making wars too expensive to fight for, South Asian strategic stability has drifted into nasty security competition through arms race with an episodical crisis that continues at the sub-conventional level. Deterrence studies that were relegated to the bins of history soon after the end of the Cold War received a renewed interest of scholars on the subject since the demonstration of deterrent capabilities by South Asian rivals in 1998. A new wave of deterrence studies has developed in the current multipolar world with some scholars adopting Cold War models of analysis in the contemporary realms of South Asia, whereas other are attempting new analytical approaches. This article aims to offer a fresh look at how to provide a clear concept of strategic stability, how strategic stability is applicable in contemporary South Asia and what the recent crisis between India and Pakistan being interwoven with terrorism tells us about crisis stability between the two countries under the shadows of nuclear weapons.

Key Words

Nuclear Weapons ; Deterrence ; crisis stability ; Strategic Stability ; Stability–Instability Paradox

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